MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
EUR Europe Friendlies · Fixture ·

Excelsior Maassluis vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw25%
Away win44%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Excelsior MaassluisSparta Rotterdam Reserves
Expected goals3.24Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 25% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior Maassluis win31%3.233.0030%
Draw25%4.003.6025%
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves win44%2.272.0045%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior Maassluis1.55

Home share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals3.24Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1.69

Away share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Excelsior Maassluis

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

0.50pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
0
Points from supplied form
1
1.55
Expected goals
1.69
Excelsior MaassluisSparta Rotterdam Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior Maassluis signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Rotterdam Reserves signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Excelsior Maassluis vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior Maassluis win 31%,Draw 25%,Sparta Rotterdam Reserves win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over