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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Cittadella vs Luparense FC

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst69%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst12%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 69% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst69% selection probability
Projected score2–1CittadellaLuparense FC
Expected goals3.32Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
69% / 20% / 12%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Luparense FC win (11.9%)Dubbele Kans1X88.1%1.14
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.32 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cittadella win69%1.451.2770.6%
Gelijkspel20%5.004.7518.9%
Luparense FC win12%8.338.5010.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cittadella2.21

Thuis share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals3.32Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Luparense FC1.11

Uit share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Cittadella

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Luparense FC

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.21
Expected goals
1.11
CittadellaLuparense FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cittadella signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Luparense FC signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Cittadella vs Luparense FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cittadella gewonnen 69%,Gelijkspel 20%,Luparense FC gewonnen 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven