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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

Cittadella vs Luparense FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg69%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg12%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg69% selection probability
Projected score2–1CittadellaLuparense FC
Expected goals3.32Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
69% / 20% / 12%SpielergebnisHeimsieg69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Luparense FC win (11.9%)Doppelte Chance1X88.1%1.14
Über 65% · Unter 35%Goals 2.5Über65%1.54
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.32 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cittadella win69%1.451.2770.6%
Unentschieden20%5.004.7518.9%
Luparense FC win12%8.338.5010.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cittadella2.21

Heim share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals3.32Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 65% · Unter 35%

Luparense FC1.11

Auswärts share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cittadella

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Luparense FC

0.00pts / match
Gespielt0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punkte0

SignalHeim won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.21
Expected goals
1.11
CittadellaLuparense FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cittadella signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Luparense FC signalHeim won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Cittadella vs Luparense FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cittadella Gewinn 69%,Unentschieden 20%,Luparense FC Gewinn 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Über 2.5 65% · Current selection Über