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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Цитадела vs Лупарензе

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score1–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина69%
Равен20%
Победа за госта12%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 69% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина69% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЦитаделаЛупарензе
Expected goals3.32Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
69% / 20% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Лупарензе win (11.9%)Двоен шанс1X88.1%1.14
Над 65% · Под 35%Goals 2.5Над65%1.54
Да 63% · Не 37%И двата отбора да отбележатДа63%1.59
3.32 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Цитадела win69%1.451.2770.6%
Равен20%5.004.7518.9%
Лупарензе win12%8.338.5010.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Цитадела2.21

Домакин share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals3.32Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 65% · Под 35%

Лупарензе1.11

Гост share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 63% · Не 37%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Цитадела

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Лупарензе

0.00pts / match
Изиграни0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Точки0

SignalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.21
Expected goals
1.11
ЦитаделаЛупарензе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Цитадела signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лупарензе signalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Цитадела vs Лупарензе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Цитадела печеливш 69%,Равен 20%,Лупарензе печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Над 2.5 65% · Current selection Над