Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 25% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dubbele Kans1274.6%1.34
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Napoli win44%2.272.0044.7%—
Gelijkspel25%4.003.5025.5%—
Celta de Vigo win30%3.333.0029.8%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 54.7%
Total expected goals2.96Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%
Uit share of expected goals 45.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchNapoli
WWLDD
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchCelta de Vigo
WWDWD
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11
SignalThuis won 2/5 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%8
Points from supplied form
111.62
Expected goals
1.34NapoliCelta de Vigo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Napoli vs Celta de Vigo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Napoli gewonnen 44%，Gelijkspel 25%，Celta de Vigo gewonnen 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.96 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven。