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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Final ·

Naples vs Celta Vigo

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–1Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 44% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–1NaplesCelta Vigo
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 25% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naples win44%2.272.0044.7%
Nul25%4.003.5025.5%
Celta Vigo win30%3.333.0029.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naples1.62

Domicile share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Celta Vigo1.34

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Naples

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Celta Vigo

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile won 2/5 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.62
Expected goals
1.34
NaplesCelta Vigo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naples signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celta Vigo signalDomicile won 2/5 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Naples vs Celta Vigo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naples victoire 44%,Nul 25%,Celta Vigo victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de