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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Final ·

Nápoles vs Celta de Vigo

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–1Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante30%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 44% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score2–1NápolesCelta de Vigo
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 25% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doble Oportunidad1274.6%1.34
Más de 57% · Menos de 43%Goals 2.5Más de57%1.75
Sí 60% · No 40%Ambos equipos marcan60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nápoles win44%2.272.0044.7%
Empate25%4.003.5025.5%
Celta de Vigo win30%3.333.0029.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nápoles1.62

Local share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 57% · Menos de 43%

Celta de Vigo1.34

Visitante share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Nápoles

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Celta de Vigo

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal won 2/5 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.62
Expected goals
1.34
NápolesCelta de Vigo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nápoles signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celta de Vigo signalLocal won 2/5 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Nápoles vs Celta de Vigo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nápoles ganada 44%,Empate 25%,Celta de Vigo ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Más de 2.5 57% · Current selection Más de