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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie B · Wedstrijd ·

CD Cuenca Jrs vs Vinotinto Ecuador

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst27%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD Cuenca JrsVinotinto Ecuador
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 31% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vinotinto Ecuador win (27.3%)Dubbele Kans1X72.7%1.38
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.17 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
CD Cuenca Jrs win42%2.38
Gelijkspel31%3.23
Vinotinto Ecuador win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Cuenca Jrs1.30

Thuis share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%

Vinotinto Ecuador0.87

Uit share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CD Cuenca Jrs

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Vinotinto Ecuador

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.30
Expected goals
0.87
CD Cuenca JrsVinotinto Ecuador
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Cuenca Jrs signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vinotinto Ecuador signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CD Cuenca Jrs vs Vinotinto Ecuador FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Cuenca Jrs gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 31%,Vinotinto Ecuador gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder