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AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Wedstrijd ·

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves vs The Cove FC - Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Adelaide Croatia Raiders ReservesThe Cove FC - Reserves
Expected goals3.70Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 22% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.9%)Dubbele Kans1278.1%1.28
Boven 71% · Onder 29%Goals 2.5Boven71%1.41
Ja 71% · Nee 29%Beide teams scorenJa71%1.41
3.70 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapThe Cove FC - Reserves winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves win47%2.131.9047.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
The Cove FC - Reserves win32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves1.91

Thuis share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals3.70Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 71% · Onder 29%

The Cove FC - Reserves1.79

Uit share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nee 29%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

The Cove FC - Reserves

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.91
Expected goals
1.79
Adelaide Croatia Raiders ReservesThe Cove FC - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02The Cove FC - Reserves signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves vs The Cove FC - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 22%,The Cove FC - Reserves gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.70 · Boven 2.5 71% · Current selection Boven