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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Maia Lidador vs AD Ponte da Barca

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst21%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 55% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Maia LidadorAD Ponte da Barca
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 24% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Ponte da Barca win (21.2%)Dubbele Kans1X78.8%1.27
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.44 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin13.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maia Lidador win55%1.821.5756.3%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.8023.3%
AD Ponte da Barca win21%4.764.3320.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maia Lidador1.53

Thuis share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%

AD Ponte da Barca0.91

Uit share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Maia Lidador

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Uit-context · form sequence

AD Ponte da Barca

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.53
Expected goals
0.91
Maia LidadorAD Ponte da Barca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maia Lidador signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Ponte da Barca signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Maia Lidador vs AD Ponte da Barca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maia Lidador gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 24%,AD Ponte da Barca gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder