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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Maia Lidador vs AD Ponte da Barca

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–1Prognose 2–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier55%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier21%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 55% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Maia LidadorAD Ponte da Barca
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
55% / 24% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Ponte da Barca win (21.2%)Dobbel sjanse1X78.8%1.27
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 47% · Nei 53%Begge lag scorerNei53%1.89
2.44 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin13.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maia Lidador win55%1.821.5756.3%
Uavgjort24%4.173.8023.3%
AD Ponte da Barca win21%4.764.3320.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maia Lidador1.53

Hjemme share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

AD Ponte da Barca0.91

Borte share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nei 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Maia Lidador

0.00pts / match
Spilt1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poeng0

SignalNei recent signal

Borte-context · form sequence

AD Ponte da Barca

0.00pts / match
Spilt1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poeng0

SignalNei recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.53
Expected goals
0.91
Maia LidadorAD Ponte da Barca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maia Lidador signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Ponte da Barca signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Maia Lidador vs AD Ponte da Barca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maia Lidador vunnet 55%,Uavgjort 24%,AD Ponte da Barca vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under