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LTU Lithuania II Lyga · Round 28 ·

FK Silute vs FK Viltis Vilnius

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier62%
Uavgjort21%
Borteseier17%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier62% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK SiluteFK Viltis Vilnius
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
62% / 21% / 17%KampresultatHjemmeseier62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Viltis Vilnius win (17.2%)Dobbel sjanse1X82.8%1.21
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nei 52%Begge lag scorerNei52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Silute winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Silute win62%1.611.4063.9%-1.9 pp
Uavgjort21%4.764.5019.9%+1.1 pp
FK Viltis Vilnius win17%5.885.5016.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Silute1.31

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

FK Viltis Vilnius1.05

Borte share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nei 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Silute

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme failed to score: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FK Viltis Vilnius

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
17%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.05
FK SiluteFK Viltis Vilnius
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Silute signalHjemme failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Viltis Vilnius signalBorte matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FK Silute vs FK Viltis Vilnius FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Silute vunnet 62%,Uavgjort 21%,FK Viltis Vilnius vunnet 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under