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Viking vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.65 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier68%
Uavgjort19%
Borteseier13%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier68% selection probability
Projected score3–1VikingSarpsborg
Expected goals3.65Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
68% / 19% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (12.7%)Dobbel sjanse1X87.3%1.15
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Ja 51% · Nei 49%Begge lag scorerJa51%1.96
3.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Viking win68%1.47
Uavgjort19%5.26
Sarpsborg win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking2.89

Hjemme share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.65Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Sarpsborg0.76

Borte share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nei 49%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Viking

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.89
Expected goals
0.76
VikingSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Viking vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking vunnet 68%,Uavgjort 19%,Sarpsborg vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over