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Viking FK vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–13.67 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır69%
Beraberlik17%
Deplasman kazanır14%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır69% selection probability
Projected score3–1Viking FKSarpsborg
Expected goals3.67Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst71% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
69% / 17% / 14%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (13.6%)Çifte Şans1X86.4%1.16
Üst 71% · Alt 29%Goals 2.5Üst71%1.41
Evet 51% · Hayır 49%Karşılıklı gol varEvet51%1.96
3.67 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
10.7 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapViking FK winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Viking FK win69%1.451.3867.8%+1.2 pp
Beraberlik17%5.885.2517.8%-0.8 pp
Sarpsborg win14%7.146.5014.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking FK2.90

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 79%

Total expected goals3.67Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 71% · Alt 29%

Sarpsborg0.77

Deplasman share of expected goals 21%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 51% · Hayır 49%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Viking FK

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.90
Expected goals
0.77
Viking FKSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking FK signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Viking FK vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking FK kazanç 69%,Beraberlik 17%,Sarpsborg kazanç 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · 2.5 Üst 71% · Current selection Üst