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PRT Portugal U23 League · Final ·

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–2Prognose 2–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier58%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier20%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Expected goals3.23Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
58% / 22% / 20%KampresultatHjemmeseier58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria U23 win (19.9%)Dobbel sjanse1X80.1%1.25
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 56% · Nei 44%Begge lag scorerJa56%1.79
3.23 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapLeixoes U23 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixoes U23 win58%1.721.5557.3%+0.7 pp
Uavgjort22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
UD Leiria U23 win20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leixoes U232.27

Hjemme share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals3.23Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

UD Leiria U230.96

Borte share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nei 44%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poeng9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

UD Leiria U23

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
11
2.27
Expected goals
0.96
Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leixoes U23 signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria U23 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leixoes U23 vunnet 58%,Uavgjort 22%,UD Leiria U23 vunnet 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over