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PRT Portugal - Ligue U23 · Final ·

Leixoes - U23 vs UD Leiria - U23

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–2Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile58%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur20%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leixoes - U23UD Leiria - U23
Expected goals3.23Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
58% / 22% / 20%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria - U23 win (19.9%)Double chance1X80.1%1.25
Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%Goals 2.5Plus de63%1.59
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
3.23 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapLeixoes - U23 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixoes - U23 win58%1.721.5557.3%+0.7 pp
Nul22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
UD Leiria - U23 win20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leixoes - U232.27

Domicile share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals3.23Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%

UD Leiria - U230.96

Extérieur share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Leixoes - U23

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

UD Leiria - U23

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gagné probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
11
2.27
Expected goals
0.96
Leixoes - U23UD Leiria - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leixoes - U23 signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria - U23 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Leixoes - U23 vs UD Leiria - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leixoes - U23 victoire 58%,Nul 22%,UD Leiria - U23 victoire 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Plus de 2.5 63% · Current selection Plus de