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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

GD Vitoria de Sernache vs Sporting Covilha

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–0Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier41%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier31%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 41% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier41% selection probability
Projected score1–1GD Vitoria de SernacheSporting Covilha
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
41% / 28% / 31%KampresultatHjemmeseier41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Dobbel sjanse1271.6%1.40
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
GD Vitoria de Sernache win41%2.44
Uavgjort28%3.57
Sporting Covilha win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

GD Vitoria de Sernache1.23

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Sporting Covilha1.04

Borte share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

GD Vitoria de Sernache

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilha

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.23
Expected goals
1.04
GD Vitoria de SernacheSporting Covilha
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01GD Vitoria de Sernache signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Covilha signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

GD Vitoria de Sernache vs Sporting Covilha FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

GD Vitoria de Sernache vunnet 41%,Uavgjort 28%,Sporting Covilha vunnet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under