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INT Portugalsko - Liga 3 · Final ·

GD Vitória de Sernache vs Sporting Covilha

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score0–0Předpověď 1–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích41%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů31%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácíchTier C · 41% selection probability
Prediction Neúspěšná
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích41% selection probability
Projected score1–1GD Vitória de SernacheSporting Covilha
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně60% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
41% / 28% / 31%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Dvojitá šance1271.6%1.40
Více 40% · Méně 60%Goals 2.5Méně60%1.67
Ano 46% · Ne 54%Oba týmy skórujíNe54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.9 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
GD Vitória de Sernache win41%2.44
Remíza28%3.57
Sporting Covilha win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

GD Vitória de Sernache1.23

Domácí share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 40% · Méně 60%

Sporting Covilha1.04

Hosté share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 46% · Ne 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

GD Vitória de Sernache

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilha

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Výhra probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.23
Expected goals
1.04
GD Vitória de SernacheSporting Covilha
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01GD Vitória de Sernache signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Covilha signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

GD Vitória de Sernache vs Sporting Covilha FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

GD Vitória de Sernache výhra 41%,Remíza 28%,Sporting Covilha výhra 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Více 2.5 40% · Current selection Méně