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INT France Ligue 3 · Final ·

Caen vs Valenciennes

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score4–0Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier41%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier31%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 41% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CaenValenciennes
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nei corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
41% / 28% / 31%KampresultatHjemmeseier41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dobbel sjanse1272.2%1.39
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
0.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkNei corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caen win41%2.442.2540.5%
Uavgjort28%3.573.2528%
Valenciennes win31%3.232.9031.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caen1.40

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Valenciennes1.18

Borte share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Caen

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Valenciennes

2.33pts / match
Spilt3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.40
Expected goals
1.18
CaenValenciennes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caen signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valenciennes signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Caen vs Valenciennes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caen vunnet 41%,Uavgjort 28%,Valenciennes vunnet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under