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INT France Ligue 3 · Spiel ·

Caen vs Valenciennes

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg31%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CaenValenciennes
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nein corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 28% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Doppelte Chance1272.2%1.39
Über 48% · Unter 52%Goals 2.5Unter52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
0.0 expected match cornersEckenNein corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caen win41%2.442.2540.5%
Unentschieden28%3.573.2528%
Valenciennes win31%3.232.9031.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caen1.40

Heim share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 48% · Unter 52%

Valenciennes1.18

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Caen

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Valenciennes

2.33pts / match
Gespielt3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.40
Expected goals
1.18
CaenValenciennes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caen signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valenciennes signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Caen vs Valenciennes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caen Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 28%,Valenciennes Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Über 2.5 48% · Current selection Unter