Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 28% / 31%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin9.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caen win41%2.442.2540.5%—
Draw28%3.573.2528%—
Valenciennes win31%3.232.9031.4%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.3%
Total expected goals2.58Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 45.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchCaen
DWWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.33pts / matchValenciennes
DWW
Played3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
31%10
Points from supplied form
71.40
Expected goals
1.18CaenValenciennes
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Caen vs Valenciennes FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Caen win 41%，Draw 28%，Valenciennes win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。