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INT Paraguay Women League · Fixture ·

Libertad Asuncion (W) vs Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.52 expected goals
Away form
Home win83%
Draw11%
Away win6%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 83% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win83% selection probability
Projected score2–1Libertad Asuncion (W)Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Expected goals3.52Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
83% / 11% / 6%Match resultHome win83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) win (5.8%)Double chance1X94.2%1.06
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.52 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Libertad Asuncion (W) win83%1.201.0986.1%
Draw11%9.0910.009.4%
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) win6%16.6721.004.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Libertad Asuncion (W)2.47

Home share of expected goals 70.2%

Total expected goals3.52Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)1.05

Away share of expected goals 29.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Libertad Asuncion (W)

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Win probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
9
2.47
Expected goals
1.05
Libertad Asuncion (W)Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Libertad Asuncion (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) signalHome clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Libertad Asuncion (W) vs Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Libertad Asuncion (W) win 83%,Draw 11%,Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) win 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.52 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over