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HRV Croatia U19 League · Fixture ·

NK Varazdin U19 vs Hajduk Split U19

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.44 expected goals
Away form
Home win20%
Draw28%
Away win52%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win52% selection probability
Projected score1–2NK Varazdin U19Hajduk Split U19
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 28% / 52%Match resultAway win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NK Varazdin U19 win (20.2%)Double chanceX279.8%1.25
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.44 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
NK Varazdin U19 win20%5.00
Draw28%3.57
Hajduk Split U19 win52%1.92

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Varazdin U190.73

Home share of expected goals 29.9%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Hajduk Split U191.71

Away share of expected goals 70.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

NK Varazdin U19

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hajduk Split U19

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Win probability excluding draw
52%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.73
Expected goals
1.71
NK Varazdin U19Hajduk Split U19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Varazdin U19 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hajduk Split U19 signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

NK Varazdin U19 vs Hajduk Split U19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Varazdin U19 win 20%,Draw 28%,Hajduk Split U19 win 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under