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BEL Belgium First Amateur Division · Fixture ·

RAEC Mons vs RFC Meux

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win60%
Draw22%
Away win18%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win60% selection probability
Projected score2–1RAEC MonsRFC Meux
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 22% / 18%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes RFC Meux win (18.3%)Double chance1X81.7%1.22
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapRFC Meux winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
RAEC Mons win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Draw22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
RFC Meux win18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RAEC Mons1.88

Home share of expected goals 71.5%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

RFC Meux0.75

Away share of expected goals 28.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

RAEC Mons

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

RFC Meux

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.88
Expected goals
0.75
RAEC MonsRFC Meux
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RAEC Mons signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02RFC Meux signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

RAEC Mons vs RFC Meux FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RAEC Mons win 60%,Draw 22%,RFC Meux win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under