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BEL Belgien - 1. division - Amatør · Kamp ·

RAEC Mons vs RFC Meux

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr60%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr18%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr60% selection probability
Projected score2–1RAEC MonsRFC Meux
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
60% / 22% / 18%KampresultatHjemmesejr60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes RFC Meux win (18.3%)Dobbeltchance1X81.7%1.22
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapRFC Meux winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
RAEC Mons win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
RFC Meux win18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RAEC Mons1.88

Hjemme share of expected goals 71.5%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

RFC Meux0.75

Ude share of expected goals 28.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

RAEC Mons

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

RFC Meux

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vundet probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.88
Expected goals
0.75
RAEC MonsRFC Meux
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RAEC Mons signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02RFC Meux signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

RAEC Mons vs RFC Meux FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RAEC Mons vundet 60%,Uafgjort 22%,RFC Meux vundet 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under