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ENG England Development League 2 · Final ·

Swansea U21 vs Peterborough U21

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–3Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win57%
Draw19%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score2–2Swansea U21Peterborough U21
Expected goals4.32Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over81% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 19% / 24%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18.8%)Double chance1281.2%1.23
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Yes 77% · No 23%Both teams scoreYes77%1.30
4.32 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapSwansea U21 winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swansea U21 win57%1.751.5557.3%-0.3 pp
Draw19%5.264.7518.7%+0.3 pp
Peterborough U21 win24%4.173.7024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swansea U212.48

Home share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals4.32Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%

Peterborough U211.84

Away share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 77% · No 23%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Swansea U21

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Peterborough U21

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.48
Expected goals
1.84
Swansea U21Peterborough U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swansea U21 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peterborough U21 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Swansea U21 vs Peterborough U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swansea U21 win 57%,Draw 19%,Peterborough U21 win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.32 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over