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ISR Israel Leumit Liga · Fixture ·

Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.71 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw28%
Away win39%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Maccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Rishon Lezion
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 28% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Double chance1272.1%1.39
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.71 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maccabi Kiryat Gat win33%3.032.7532.7%
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%
Hapoel Rishon Lezion win39%2.562.3039.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maccabi Kiryat Gat1.31

Home share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Hapoel Rishon Lezion1.40

Away share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Hapoel Rishon Lezion

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.40
Maccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Rishon Lezion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maccabi Kiryat Gat signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hapoel Rishon Lezion signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maccabi Kiryat Gat win 33%,Draw 28%,Hapoel Rishon Lezion win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over