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ISR Israel Leumit Liga · Fixture ·

MS Ashdod vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1MS AshdodMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win (24.2%)Double chance1X75.8%1.32
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.73 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MS Ashdod win50%2.001.7551.3%
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win24%4.173.9023%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MS Ashdod1.59

Home share of expected goals 58.2%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1.14

Away share of expected goals 41.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MS Ashdod

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.59
Expected goals
1.14
MS AshdodMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MS Ashdod signalHome failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

MS Ashdod vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MS Ashdod win 50%,Draw 26%,Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over