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ISR Israel Leumit Liga · Fixture ·

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Afula

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.71 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw28%
Away win36%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 36% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Maccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Afula
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 28% / 36%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.71 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win36%2.782.5036%
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%
Hapoel Afula win36%2.782.5036%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth1.36

Home share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Hapoel Afula1.35

Away share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hapoel Afula

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
0
Points from supplied form
8
1.36
Expected goals
1.35
Maccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Afula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maccabi Ahi Nazareth signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hapoel Afula signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Afula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win 36%,Draw 28%,Hapoel Afula win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over