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INT COSAFA Champions League Women · Fixture ·

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) vs Costa Do Sol (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win82%
Draw11%
Away win7%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 82% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win82% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mamelodi Sundowns (W)Costa Do Sol (W)
Expected goals3.07Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
82% / 11% / 7%Match resultHome win82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Costa Do Sol (W) win (6.5%)Double chance1X93.5%1.07
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.07 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mamelodi Sundowns (W) win82%1.221.1084.3%
Draw11%9.099.0010.3%
Costa Do Sol (W) win7%14.2917.005.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mamelodi Sundowns (W)2.27

Home share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals3.07Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Costa Do Sol (W)0.80

Away share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

2.25pts / match
Played4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Points9

SignalHome won 3/4

Away-context · form sequence

Costa Do Sol (W)

1.50pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
Win probability excluding draw
7%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.27
Expected goals
0.80
Mamelodi Sundowns (W)Costa Do Sol (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mamelodi Sundowns (W) signalHome won 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Costa Do Sol (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) vs Costa Do Sol (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) win 82%,Draw 11%,Costa Do Sol (W) win 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over