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AUT Austria Regionalliga West · Fixture ·

FC Kitzbuhel vs FC Lauterach

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win68%
Draw19%
Away win13%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win68% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC KitzbuhelFC Lauterach
Expected goals3.78Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 19% / 13%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Lauterach win (13.1%)Double chance1X86.9%1.15
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.78 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapFC Kitzbuhel winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kitzbuhel win68%1.471.3068.5%-0.5 pp
Draw19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp
FC Lauterach win13%7.697.0012.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kitzbuhel2.48

Home share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals3.78Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

FC Lauterach1.30

Away share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Kitzbuhel

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Lauterach

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.48
Expected goals
1.30
FC KitzbuhelFC Lauterach
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kitzbuhel signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Lauterach signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FC Kitzbuhel vs FC Lauterach FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kitzbuhel win 68%,Draw 19%,FC Lauterach win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.78 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over