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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw23%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Unia SwarzedzWda Swiecie
Expected goals3.20Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 23% / 23%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Double chance1277.1%1.30
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapUnia Swarzedz winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Unia Swarzedz win54%1.851.6554.2%-0.2 pp
Draw23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
Wda Swiecie win23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Unia Swarzedz1.93

Home share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals3.20Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Wda Swiecie1.27

Away share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Unia Swarzedz

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wda Swiecie

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.93
Expected goals
1.27
Unia SwarzedzWda Swiecie
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Unia Swarzedz signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wda Swiecie signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Unia Swarzedz win 54%,Draw 23%,Wda Swiecie win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over