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POL Poland III Liga · Kamp ·

Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier54%
Uavgjort23%
Borteseier23%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Unia SwarzedzWda Swiecie
Expected goals3.20Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
54% / 23% / 23%KampresultatHjemmeseier54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Dobbel sjanse1277.1%1.30
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Ja 62% · Nei 38%Begge lag scorerJa62%1.61
3.20 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapUnia Swarzedz winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Unia Swarzedz win54%1.851.6554.2%-0.2 pp
Uavgjort23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
Wda Swiecie win23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Unia Swarzedz1.93

Hjemme share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals3.20Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Wda Swiecie1.27

Borte share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nei 38%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Unia Swarzedz

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Wda Swiecie

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.93
Expected goals
1.27
Unia SwarzedzWda Swiecie
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Unia Swarzedz signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wda Swiecie signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Unia Swarzedz vunnet 54%,Uavgjort 23%,Wda Swiecie vunnet 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over