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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw24%
Away win48%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score1–2Grom Nowy StawKluczevia Stargard
Expected goals3.19Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 24% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Double chance1276.2%1.31
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Grom Nowy Staw win29%3.453.3026.9%
Draw24%4.173.7523.7%
Kluczevia Stargard win48%2.081.8049.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Grom Nowy Staw1.46

Home share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals3.19Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Kluczevia Stargard1.73

Away share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Grom Nowy Staw

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Kluczevia Stargard

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.46
Expected goals
1.73
Grom Nowy StawKluczevia Stargard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Grom Nowy Staw signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kluczevia Stargard signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Grom Nowy Staw win 29%,Draw 24%,Kluczevia Stargard win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over