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EST Estonia Esiliiga · Round 25 ·

FC Elva vs FC Flora Tallinn II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.30 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw27%
Away win38%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC ElvaFC Flora Tallinn II
Expected goals3.30Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 27% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.30 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
11.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Elva win35%2.86
Draw27%3.70
FC Flora Tallinn II win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elva1.59

Home share of expected goals 48.2%

Total expected goals3.30Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

FC Flora Tallinn II1.71

Away share of expected goals 51.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Elva

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn II

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.59
Expected goals
1.71
FC ElvaFC Flora Tallinn II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elva signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Flora Tallinn II signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Elva vs FC Flora Tallinn II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elva win 35%,Draw 27%,FC Flora Tallinn II win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over