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EST Εσθονία - Esiliiga · Round 25 ·

Έλβα vs Φλόρα Τάλιν II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.30 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου35%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38% selection probability
Projected score2–2ΈλβαΦλόρα Τάλιν II
Expected goals3.30Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω64% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι66% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
35% / 27% / 38%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.4%1.36
Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%Goals 2.5Άνω64%1.56
Ναι 66% · Όχι 34%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι66%1.52
3.30 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
11.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Έλβα win35%2.86
Ισοπαλία27%3.70
Φλόρα Τάλιν II win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Έλβα1.59

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 48.2%

Total expected goals3.30Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%

Φλόρα Τάλιν II1.71

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 51.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 66% · Όχι 34%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Έλβα

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φλόρα Τάλιν II

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.59
Expected goals
1.71
ΈλβαΦλόρα Τάλιν II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Έλβα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φλόρα Τάλιν II signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Έλβα vs Φλόρα Τάλιν II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Έλβα νίκη 35%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Φλόρα Τάλιν II νίκη 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Άνω 2.5 64% · Current selection Άνω