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TZA Tanzania Premier League · Fixture ·

Young Africans FC vs Coastal Union

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–04.01 expected goals
Away form
Home win86%
Draw10%
Away win4%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 86% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win86% selection probability
Projected score4–0Young Africans FCCoastal Union
Expected goals4.01Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
86% / 10% / 4%Match resultHome win86%1.16
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Coastal Union win (4%)Double chance1X96%1.04
Over 76% · Under 24%Goals 2.5Over76%1.32
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
4.01 total expected goalsCorrect score4–0
7.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapYoung Africans FC winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Young Africans FC win86%1.161.0984.7%+1.3 pp
Draw10%10.008.5010.9%-0.9 pp
Coastal Union win4%25.0021.004.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Young Africans FC3.67

Home share of expected goals 91.5%

Total expected goals4.01Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 76% · Under 24%

Coastal Union0.34

Away share of expected goals 8.5%

Projected score4–0BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Young Africans FC

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Coastal Union

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
86%
Win probability excluding draw
4%
15
Points from supplied form
7
3.67
Expected goals
0.34
Young Africans FCCoastal Union
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Young Africans FC signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coastal Union signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk14% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

Young Africans FC vs Coastal Union FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–0 · 86% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Young Africans FC win 86%,Draw 10%,Coastal Union win 4%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.01 · Over 2.5 76% · Current selection Over