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TZA Tanzania Premier League · Fixture ·

Azam FC vs TRA United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–02.47 expected goals
Away form
Home win68%
Draw21%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win68% selection probability
Projected score2–0Azam FCTRA United
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 21% / 11%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes TRA United win (10.8%)Double chance1X89.2%1.12
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
2.47 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapAzam FC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Azam FC win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
Draw21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
TRA United win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Azam FC2.03

Home share of expected goals 82.2%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

TRA United0.44

Away share of expected goals 17.8%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Azam FC

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

TRA United

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
12
Points from supplied form
8
2.03
Expected goals
0.44
Azam FCTRA United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Azam FC signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TRA United signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Azam FC vs TRA United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Azam FC win 68%,Draw 21%,TRA United win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under