Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
7% / 12% / 81%Match resultAway win81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Berlin (W) win (7%)Double chanceX293%1.08
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
3.91 total expected goalsCorrect score0–3——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapBayern Munich (W) winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Berlin (W) win7%14.2912.007.8%-0.8 pp
Draw12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp
Bayern Munich (W) win81%1.231.1779.8%+1.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 11.3%
Total expected goals3.91Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%
Away share of expected goals 88.7%
Projected score0–3BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUnion Berlin (W)
LDLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchBayern Munich (W)
WWWWD
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
7%
Win probability excluding draw
81%4
Points from supplied form
130.44
Expected goals
3.47Union Berlin (W)Bayern Munich (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 12%.
Match questions
Union Berlin (W) vs Bayern Munich (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–3 · 81% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Union Berlin (W) win 7%，Draw 12%，Bayern Munich (W) win 81%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.91 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over。