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PRY Paraguay Cup · Fixture ·

Libertad Asuncion vs Tacuary

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Away form
Home win63%
Draw21%
Away win16%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Libertad AsuncionTacuary
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 21% / 16%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuary win (16.4%)Double chance1X83.6%1.20
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Libertad Asuncion win63%1.591.3665.8%
Draw21%4.764.5019.9%
Tacuary win16%6.256.2514.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Libertad Asuncion1.76

Home share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Tacuary1.04

Away share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Libertad Asuncion

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tacuary

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
1.04
Libertad AsuncionTacuary
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Libertad Asuncion signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuary signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Libertad Asuncion vs Tacuary FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Libertad Asuncion win 63%,Draw 21%,Tacuary win 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over