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PRY Paraguay Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Libertad Asuncion vs Tacuary

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst64%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst15%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Libertad AsuncionTacuary
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
64% / 21% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuary win (14.9%)Dubbele Kans1X85.1%1.18
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.80 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Libertad Asuncion win64%1.561.3367.3%
Gelijkspel21%4.764.5019.9%
Tacuary win15%6.677.0012.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Libertad Asuncion1.79

Thuis share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

Tacuary1.01

Uit share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Libertad Asuncion

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Tacuary

1.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.79
Expected goals
1.01
Libertad AsuncionTacuary
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Libertad Asuncion signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuary signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Libertad Asuncion vs Tacuary FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Libertad Asuncion gewonnen 64%,Gelijkspel 21%,Tacuary gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven