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EST Estonia Esiliiga B · Round 23 ·

JK Tabasalu vs Johvi FC Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.05 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw20%
Away win50%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win50% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK TabasaluJohvi FC Phoenix
Expected goals4.05Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 20% / 50%Match resultAway win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.1%)Double chance1279.9%1.25
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Yes 75% · No 25%Both teams scoreYes75%1.33
4.05 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Tabasalu winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tabasalu win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Draw20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Johvi FC Phoenix win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tabasalu1.84

Home share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals4.05Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

Johvi FC Phoenix2.21

Away share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 75% · No 25%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

JK Tabasalu

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Johvi FC Phoenix

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
50%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.84
Expected goals
2.21
JK TabasaluJohvi FC Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tabasalu signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Johvi FC Phoenix signalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

JK Tabasalu vs Johvi FC Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tabasalu win 30%,Draw 20%,Johvi FC Phoenix win 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.05 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over