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EUR Europe Friendlies · Fixture ·

Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.20 expected goals
Away form
Home win23%
Draw22%
Away win55%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win55% selection probability
Projected score1–2MarchamaloCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Expected goals3.20Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 22% / 55%Match resultAway win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.2%)Double chance1277.8%1.29
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marchamalo win23%4.354.3320.6%
Draw22%4.554.1021.8%
CD Guadalajara S.A.D. win55%1.821.5557.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marchamalo1.35

Home share of expected goals 42.2%

Total expected goals3.20Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.1.85

Away share of expected goals 57.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Marchamalo

0.33pts / match
Played3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 3/3

Away-context · form sequence

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
55%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
1.85
MarchamaloCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marchamalo signalHome failed to score: 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Guadalajara S.A.D. signalAway failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marchamalo win 23%,Draw 22%,CD Guadalajara S.A.D. win 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over