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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.20 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile23%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur55%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur55% selection probability
Projected score1–2MarchamaloCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Expected goals3.20Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
23% / 22% / 55%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.2%)Double chance1277.8%1.29
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 64% · Non 36%Les deux équipes marquentOui64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marchamalo win23%4.354.3320.6%
Nul22%4.554.1021.8%
CD Guadalajara S.A.D. win55%1.821.5557.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marchamalo1.35

Domicile share of expected goals 42.2%

Total expected goals3.20Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.1.85

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 64% · Non 36%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Marchamalo

0.33pts / match
Joués3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Points1

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/3

Extérieur-context · form sequence

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gagné probability excluding draw
55%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
1.85
MarchamaloCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marchamalo signalDomicile failed to score: 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Guadalajara S.A.D. signalExtérieur failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marchamalo victoire 23%,Nul 22%,CD Guadalajara S.A.D. victoire 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de