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Elche Ilicitano vs FC Cartagena

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win22%
Draw25%
Away win53%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 53% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Elche IlicitanoFC Cartagena
Expected goals3.19Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 25% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Elche Ilicitano win (21.9%)Double chanceX278.1%1.28
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elche Ilicitano win22%4.554.5019.9%
Draw25%4.003.6024.9%
FC Cartagena win53%1.891.6255.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elche Ilicitano1.35

Home share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals3.19Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

FC Cartagena1.84

Away share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Elche Ilicitano

0.00pts / match
Played4Wins0Drawn0Losses4Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/4

Away-context · form sequence

FC Cartagena

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
53%
0
Points from supplied form
10
1.35
Expected goals
1.84
Elche IlicitanoFC Cartagena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elche Ilicitano signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Cartagena signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Elche Ilicitano vs FC Cartagena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elche Ilicitano win 22%,Draw 25%,FC Cartagena win 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over