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ENG England Development League 2 · Final ·

Peterborough U21 vs QPR U21

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 3–2
Away form
Home win45%
Draw20%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score3–2Peterborough U21QPR U21
Expected goals4.48Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over82% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes78% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 20% / 35%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.5%)Double chance1279.5%1.26
Over 82% · Under 18%Goals 2.5Over82%1.22
Yes 78% · No 22%Both teams scoreYes78%1.28
4.48 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapPeterborough U21 winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Peterborough U21 win45%2.222.0543.6%+1.4 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
QPR U21 win35%2.862.5035.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Peterborough U212.72

Home share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals4.48Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 82% · Under 18%

QPR U211.76

Away share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 78% · No 22%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Peterborough U21

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

QPR U21

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
5
Points from supplied form
7
2.72
Expected goals
1.76
Peterborough U21QPR U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Peterborough U21 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02QPR U21 signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Peterborough U21 vs QPR U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Peterborough U21 win 45%,Draw 20%,QPR U21 win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.48 · Over 2.5 82% · Current selection Over