MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
ENG England Development League 2 · Final ·

Bristol City U21 vs Wigan U21

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–2Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win48%
Draw21%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–2Bristol City U21Wigan U21
Expected goals4.09Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 21% / 32%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.7%)Double chance1279.3%1.26
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Yes 76% · No 24%Both teams scoreYes76%1.32
4.09 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapWigan U21 winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bristol City U21 win48%2.081.8548.3%-0.3 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Wigan U21 win32%3.132.8831%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bristol City U212.09

Home share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals4.09Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

Wigan U212.00

Away share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 76% · No 24%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bristol City U21

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wigan U21

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.09
Expected goals
2.00
Bristol City U21Wigan U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bristol City U21 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wigan U21 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Bristol City U21 vs Wigan U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bristol City U21 win 48%,Draw 21%,Wigan U21 win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.09 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over