Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 29% / 29%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gzira Utd win (29%)Double chance1X71%1.41
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.04 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapBirkirkara winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Birkirkara win42%2.382.1541.9%+0.1 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Gzira Utd win29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.9%
Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%
Away share of expected goals 44.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchBirkirkara
DDDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchGzira Utd
LLWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Win probability excluding draw
29%6
Points from supplied form
31.14
Expected goals
0.90BirkirkaraGzira Utd
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Birkirkara vs Gzira Utd FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Birkirkara win 42%，Draw 29%，Gzira Utd win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.04 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under。