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MLT Malta kõrgliiga · Final ·

Birkirkara vs Gzira Utd

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score4–0Ennustus 1–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit42%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit29%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit42% selection probability
Projected score1–1BirkirkaraGzira Utd
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla66% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
42% / 29% / 29%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gzira Utd win (29%)Topeltvõimalus1X71%1.41
Üle 34% · Alla 66%Goals 2.5Alla66%1.52
Jah 41% · Ei 59%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59%1.69
2.04 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
8.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapBirkirkara winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Birkirkara win42%2.382.1541.9%+0.1 pp
Viik29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Gzira Utd win29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Birkirkara1.14

Kodu share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 34% · Alla 66%

Gzira Utd0.90

Võõras share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 41% · Ei 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Birkirkara

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punktid6

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Gzira Utd

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Võit probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.14
Expected goals
0.90
BirkirkaraGzira Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Birkirkara signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gzira Utd signalKodu matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Birkirkara vs Gzira Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Birkirkara võit 42%,Viik 29%,Gzira Utd võit 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Üle 2.5 34% · Current selection Alla