Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 17% / 66%Match resultAway win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Basel win (17%)Double chanceX283%1.20
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.01 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basel win17%5.886.0014.9%—
Draw17%5.885.5016.3%—
Barcelona win66%1.521.3068.8%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 36.9%
Total expected goals3.01Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 63.1%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchBasel
DWWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBarcelona
DLWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
17%
Win probability excluding draw
66%8
Points from supplied form
71.11
Expected goals
1.90BaselBarcelona
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
Basel vs Barcelona FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Basel win 17%，Draw 17%，Barcelona win 66%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.01 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。